Whenever the economy into a downturn or crisis when there are several magic of the total. First, expand domestic demand, which is to encourage national consumption; second is to increase the volume of money supply, lending support to the enterprise; third is to support the real estate business, known as the revival of real estate can bring dozens of industries associated with the multiplier effect. We specifically said this is a matter of consumption.
According to Keynesian theory, the short-term production decisions solely by aggregate demand, while aggregate demand is the most direct expression of national will of the consumption capacity and consumption. In other words, short of the GDP that is entirely determined by the overall national spending power, the reason is very simple, you buy more things, natural products and services businesses and manufacturers will fare even better, produce more products, and will be able to expand employment and increase the economy and ultimately improve the GDP. So every time to the weak economy, the Government called on Members can always spend money to expect to improve the overall output, boost the economy. Moreover, China's economists do best, is to take the Chinese people's spending power, consumer spending accounts for the proportion of income compared to European and American countries, concluded that the Chinese people's consumption spending is too conservative and could have big potential Mining. For example, China's consumer spending accounts for only 36% of GDP, while the U.S. is 60%, this hatchback a natural gap between the poor than the ah.
But the problem is that China has the reality of the situation in China, do not forget the Chinese people are now the new head of the three big mountains also pressing it, it is housing, education and medical care. Closely these three magic spell cards in your head, you also where the money out and then spend? Furthermore, be counted as investment in China, buy a house, not in that 36% of the inside, then buy a house in the U.S. are consumer, is that part of the 60% of the inside, such a calculation, it seems no big difference.
Said first housing it, Chinese people have Chinese historical and cultural traditions, has always preferred to buy the house they live. Can live happily, self regulating the family buttoned, can come out flat world. Chinese people has always been to own a set of their own homes, would there be a sense of stability and belonging, which with mainland China for several thousand years of culture, farming culture and family culture are inseparable, ancient times, as long as people have money , and the first thing to do is repairing and maintenance of graves of a family house, mansion and the Amityville Horror is, after all, are inseparable from a "home" and the words, what other consumer, ah, ah, then investment is not even. To expect China to Europe and the United States people do portraits renting, I think within two or three generations can not change the idea. There are those who call upon the Chinese people to live in rental experts also really easier said than done, you have experts that they are not renting to live in? Your children and their parents are also renting not live in? If you are not renting their own accommodation, then there is no right to call other people do not buy a house. According to the current skyrocketing housing prices, not to mention difficult to pay a young man himself, is a pair of husband and wife are also difficult to pay, it is the parents Qi battle, two or even three families live frugally, to marry his son to buy a house . Have to save up money to buy a house, where they dare to spend?
Besides education, now common in public kindergartens, schools can not be said of poor quality, but also a lot of money the school fees. Not to mention those who focus kindergartens and schools, and many of the new Shanghai Shanghai because of no account or a residence permit or residence does not focus on schools as the reason, must cross or enter private private school choice. Shanghai is a good point of kindergartens care costs, 2 more than 1000 every month (also interview key university level of competition even fiercer than the test), but also prepare a future elementary school, high school and college costs, which one together, and then take into consideration inflation, not a how seven or eight million out of the set? Even now the University of continuous enrollment, graduate enrollment to even find a job not necessarily the case, but still be on ah. Like the now popular phrase, the depreciation of money in my pocket would be to bring it up to buy a house or buying stocks, the final is "not to buy is to die, bought a court death." The education of children is such, do not attend school is to die, court death on the school is being exam-oriented education system nurture them, like the quality needed to start making big money and even less.
Finally, is medical, not to mention this, now would casually look at a cold a few hundred dollars, a few thousand dollars to do a few checks must, we must move a small operation thousands of dollars. If old and seriously ill, with a good point of medicine, into the hospitals of good points you may have exceeded the scope of medical reimbursement. Now middle-aged man, how the need to stay in their own medical costs hundreds of thousands left to do. But also careful attention to health, to spend money to eat little better, spend money to do so fitness and exercise, to ensure their own health, not health what illness.
Ordinary people, the total income of Canadian life together, not enough to remove the three mountains, in this case, then talk about consumption, it not squaring the circle? Situation abroad abroad in the United States, no one to buy a house as investment, consumption is also affordable, in suburbs and not too expensive to buy a HOUSE. Developed social security system and more perfect, not so much to worry about the Chinese people in Japan and Hong Kong to see the cost of a disease is basically very little. If there is no housing, education and medical care are three Tigers in the middle of the road block, we are naturally happy to consumption. Who do not want to go to the supermarket for Gesanchaiwu of a big purchase, go for a European tour, buy a BMW opened it cost? China's white-collar give everything to see, but also the parents spent their savings and borrowing against future income for decades to buy a house, and now the price is so high. Lang exclaimed on this last year most of the white-collar workers will continue bankruptcy, think I have broke, and I still spending what ah.
The future, to get rid of this new three mountains, and other time may rise to other mountains, good protection for the people, we have not had to worry about, that can really improve people's spending power, in order to better stimulate the national total output out.
Some may say this is a paradox, a chain of consumption and output are always mutual, like chicken and egg problem, there is always a part to break. The problem is that this chicken will not only have enough to eat rice, chicken feathers should unplug take the huts, but also cut off a piece of chicken and cook for others to eat, so the chicken, where's the effort to lay eggs? !
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